Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.355119 1.537941 1.737469 1.971581 2.238993 2.535202 2.888588
2026-01-18 1.064806 1.310802 1.602819 1.975860 2.440984 3.003419 3.737583
2026-01-25 0.887584 1.155275 1.491963 1.948179 2.552862 3.330494 4.412298
2026-02-01 0.757374 1.031011 1.391606 1.904133 2.618146 3.583862 4.999671
2026-02-08 0.659759 0.933295 1.308474 1.864161 2.672406 3.814547 5.567529
2026-02-15 0.598989 0.877085 1.272510 1.880409 2.799861 4.152044 6.316233
2026-02-22 0.542440 0.819352 1.226096 1.872835 2.886402 4.432183 7.002942
2026-03-01 0.490611 0.762391 1.173633 1.848066 2.940147 4.662502 7.630512
2026-03-08 0.436845 0.696596 1.100424 1.781690 2.918381 4.767247 8.059407
2026-03-15 0.402861 0.658532 1.066501 1.773776 2.988538 5.024358 8.766815
2026-03-22 0.390399 0.654008 1.085629 1.854453 3.213565 5.560313 10.014302
2026-03-29 0.364538 0.624469 1.060186 1.855748 3.299763 5.862384 10.871210
2026-04-05 0.345382 0.607490 1.059262 1.908757 3.499949 6.417722 12.325255
2026-04-12 0.319375 0.576477 1.031897 1.913395 3.616614 6.842648 13.606963
2026-04-19 0.292054 0.540021 0.990591 1.886625 3.669067 7.149548 14.692333
2026-04-26 0.265885 0.502905 0.944045 1.844037 3.684384 7.383332 15.655621
2026-05-03 0.243191 0.470052 0.902089 1.805386 3.702089 7.622010 16.659056
2026-05-10 0.229161 0.452619 0.888053 1.821097 3.833110 8.109647 18.276258
2026-05-17 0.213994 0.431384 0.864289 1.813774 3.913684 8.497909 19.720391
2026-05-24 0.198615 0.408219 0.834314 1.789823 3.954678 8.803010 21.010744
2026-05-31 0.180921 0.378577 0.788130 1.725637 3.897906 8.880065 21.758909
2026-06-07 0.169937 0.362172 0.768353 1.717984 3.969689 9.262276 23.320171
2026-06-14 0.167005 0.362908 0.785517 1.795999 4.251637 10.176806 26.379516